Index.htm Mis8112.htm

GRAPHS MIS8111.CHT THROUGH MIS8118.CHT - YARDAGE, NUMBER SOLD, AND RATIO NR SOLD/YARDAGE.

These graphs unfortunately only cover Arusha and Moshi; for Dar the information will be available from the processed output sheets from the Symphony system (for gross yardage from the rail station) and from the daily data sheets in the office at Pugu (for numbers sold).

An interesting pattern emerges: both Arusha and Moshi have peaks in yardage and in sold in June, with a 'trough with an upwards blip' at December - i.e. there is a downward trend towards December with a mini-peak at the bottom of that trough for Christmas itself.

For example, Arusha has a peak average yardage of 1600 per market-day in June, with a trough of 300 on either side of Christmas and an actual Christmas blip of 800 animals; similarly, Moshi has a peak yardage of approx 1000 per market-day, with a double-minimum of 300 around Christmas and a Christmas blip of 600.

For NUMBER SOLD, Arusha is 950/100/480 and Moshi is 700/150/400.

Looking at the ratio of number sold to yardage, Arusha in general has an average of sold/yarded of 50% (in the range 40% to 70%), while Moshi has an average of sold/yarded of 70% (in the range 60% to 80%). Arusha has risen appreciably since 1991, when average sold/yarded was 35%; whereas Moshi has dropped since 1992, when average sold/yarded was 90%.

 

Looking at the trend lines, we see that for yardage, figures are remarkably constant over the years - Arusha has risen just slightly from an average 1000 animals per market day in 1991 to 1050 in 1994; Moshi has remained constant at 600 animals per market day.

Also looking at trend lines, for number sold, we see that Arusha on average has risen from 350 animals sold per market-day in 1991 to 550 animals sold per market day in 1994; Moshi meanwhile has supposedly dropped from 550 in 1991 to 400 animals sold per market-day in 1994, according to the market records.

As background information, I am reliably informed that Arusha and Moshi are effectively twin markets. Lower grades not sold at Arusha on the Friday are then trekked to Moshi for sale the following Tuesday.